Day 98: Where Nate Robinson Plays Like a Boss

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Line of the Night/Waiver Wire Line of the Night : We mentioned on the podcast that Nate Robinson (42% owned) was in prime position to explode thanks to yet another Kirk Hinrich injury that is going to keep him out the week. And explode he did against the Pacers, playing over 40 minutes in the start and finishing with 19 points, 3 threes, 5 rebounds, 9 assists and 3 steals (2.28 WARP) for his best fantasy game of the season. At this point, Robinson (who has a two-week WARP of 0.97 – which is the 10th best in the league over that span) is a must add probably until Derrick Rose makes his return.

Honorable Mentions: LeBron James scored 31 points, shooting 13-14 from the field, with 8 rebounds and 8 assists (2.09 WARP) in a win over the Bobcats. With the way that Charlotte has been making opposing players look lately, I figured that LeBron would have broken Wilt’s single game scoring record in this game. He’ll have to settle for the not-quite triple-double.

Shawn Marion scored a season high 23 points on 10-14 from the field, adding 3 steals and 2 blocks (1.86 WARP) against the Thunder. While he’s not quite vintage Matrix anymore, Marion has shown more life this season than in the past few years and he’s up to #57 overall on your player rater over the last month of the season.

Paul George with 21 points, 11 rebounds, 5 assists, 2 steals, 2 blocks (1.86 WARP), David West with 29 points, 11-18 from the field, 9 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 blocks (1.72 WARP) and George Hill with 22 points, 3 threes, 6 assists (1.44 WARP) all had top-10 fantasy games last night and combined to take down the Bulls 111-101. Is anyone really rushing for the return of Granger in this situation? Even Danny Granger isn’t sure about it.

With both Chris Paul and Blake Griffin out for the Clippers, Jamal Crawford picked up the slack with 28 points and 3 threes (1.53 WARP) in 33 minutes off the bench. Of course when Jamal Crawford is leading your team, you lose to the Wizards 98-90, which is what happened to L.A. last night as they got flashbacks of what life used to be like in the pre-Griffin days.

And it only took about a month worth of games, but Ricky Rubio is finally showing some signs of life – scoring a season high 15 points and dishing out a season high 14 assists (0.81 WARP) in Minnesota’s loss to the Blazers. Derrick Rose is a better player than Rubio, but Rose owners might want to take note of how long it took Rubio to really get back into the swing once he returned to the court. You could be looking at a very disappointing end of the season if you’ve been stashing him all year.

Pick Up Lines: Bradley Beal is dealing with an injured wrist. Jordan Crawford is now getting single digit minutes at the back of the Wizards’ bench. Trevor Ariza is also coming off the bench for the Wizards. All of that has opened up playing time for a couple of guys. Martell Webster (12% owned) – who we’ve mentioned before – scored 21 points, with 5 threes and 5 rebounds (2.07 WARP) in the Wizards’ win over the Clippers. While Webster has flown under the radar in many leagues up to this point, he’s been starting for the majority of the year and has been solid, if a little unspectacular, for that run. His upside isn’t a high as some other free agents, but he’s a solid plug and play option that is fairly reliable.

Also for the Wizards, the well-traveled Garrett Temple (1% owned) scored 15 points, adding 3 steals and 3 blocks (1.19 WARP) in his fourth straight start at shooting guard for the team. Temple hadn’t done much at all in his first three starts (scoring a combined 8 points in three game), so you’ll want to see him repeat this performance at least once before picking him up, even in deep leagues.

The Sixers and Magic stumbled to a pretty pathetic 78-61 final score, but Nick Young (32% owned) was solid for the Sixers, scoring 15 points and adding 6 rebounds, 4 steals and 2 blocks (1.53 WARP) in 36 minutes. It was Young’s fifth straight start thanks to a Jason Richardson injury, and now word is that Young could keep the starting job even when Richardson returns (as a way to try to keep Richardson healthy, of course) which means that Young could have decent value in most leagues for the rest of the season.

Dante Cunningham (4% owned) scored a season high 23 points on 11-17 shooting from the field, adding 3 steals (1.12 WARP) off the bench for the Wolves. Derrick Williams may still be the starter, but Cunningham is playing much better and is the only one of the two worth picking up right now.

Lance Stephenson had his fourth straight good fantasy game, scoring 15 points, adding 4 rebounds and 5 assists (0.96 WARP) in 34 minutes against the Bulls. The eventual return of Danny Granger is going to destroy any fantasy value he has, but until then he’s worth a look if you need some guard help.

Taj Gibson – with 10 points, 11 rebounds and 5 blocks in 44 minutes (0.89) is another guy that we mentioned in the podcast. He’s makes a great add if you need a big as long as Joakim Noah is out and he is starting at center.

Jazz shooting guard Alec Burks (1% owned) scored 14 points, with 4 assists and 2 steals (1.07 WARP) while playing a season high 31 minutes in an overtime win over the Kings. Yes, the game came against the Kings and went to overtime, so he’s unlikely to repeat this type of line again, but his minutes have seen an up tick since Gordon Hayward sprained his right shoulder and is at least worth a watch in very deep leagues based on his potential.

Biggest Loser: It’s great that Nicolas Batum is a tough guy and wants to play through his current wrist injury. But if these are the types of lines that we are going to be getting – 4 points, 3 rebounds, 2 assists and 7 turnovers (-0.75 WARP) – in 35 minutes against the Wolves, then the dude needs to take a seat and sit the next few plays out. Over his last 4 games, Batum is shooting 38% from the floor and is averaging only 8 points a game.

Andrei Kirilenko left last night’s game with a right quad strain, scoring 2 points (1-4 from the field), with 0 rebounds and 0 assists (-0.64 WARP) in only 14 minutes. He’s day-to-day with the injury, and we’ll have to wait and see if any additional information comes out about how much time he’ll miss.

***

Daily rankings and stats come from the FBC H2H Player Rater (beta version). They are based on the stat Wins Above Replacement Player (WARP) an estimate of the number of wins a player produces per week in H2H leagues over a replacement (waiver wire) player.

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  • LukeAndButch

    Would a post trade Derrick Favors be better than Hibbert? Favors is a FA in my league and I’m debating whether or not to pick him up.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      He’d probably be a little bit better than Hibbert, mostly because his offensive game wouldn’t be a disaster like Hibbert’s has been. Favors has a much better FG% and is a better scorer. Hibbert on the other hand has a better FT% and would still be the slightly better shot blocker.

      • DeMarre Cook

        I’m 2nd is my Roto league-strong in everything but FG% & TOs. D.
        Rose is on the waiver wire. Would you pick him up and drop Afflalo or
        Dudley?

        • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

          As a straight value pickup, yes, Rose will likely be better than either Dudley or Afflalo and is worth grabbing now. However, he doesn’t help you in the categories you mentioned (and in fact might hurt you compared to the other guys), so you might have to still make a move or two to improve either FG% or TOs if you want to win the league.

          • DeMarre Cook

            That’s what she said. Ha! Good bye AA, who is shooting .385 in the last 30 days. Thanks for the advice Patrick.

  • Jarvis Varnado

    I just traded Gortat and Thad Young for Kemba Walker, right before Thad’s injury and picked up Splitter. Now i’m scared of injury-karma.

    • brian

      Wow, I’d say forget the karma, bask in the good luck! That’s awesome for you though.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

      Worry about it, if and when it happens. Congrats!

  • Jeremy

    Who’s the more solid play tonight. Barnes or Prince?

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      I think Prince is the only one of the two you can trust right now until Barnes shows he’s turned things around.

  • Sticky Mamba

    Whats your take on Hayward, still isn’t putting up shots. I could use his production, but the uncertainty is no bueno. Thoughts?

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      How big is your league? Hayward is ranked 127 on our rater for the season, worth owning in a 12-teamer, but not exactly a guy I’d sit on and wait for him to get back on the court. Might be time to move on unless you play in a deep league.

      • Sticky Mamba

        My league is 10-team so its shallow. Only thing is not a lot of good talent on the waiver wire. Maybe Lavoy Allen in wake of Young’s hamstring injury. Also, would you guys sell Dwight dirt cheap right now? I was considering maybe Deandre or Farried or something along those lines? Thanks guys.

        • brian

          Should trade for DeAndre…

          Nah really? In a 10-team league, why is anyone hanging onto DJ. Dwight’s outlook is pretty grim, so getting a consistent contributor in Faried would be nice but would be on the lower end of what you should be able to get for dwight right now. Dwight’s value has been hit pretty bad, but there’s still potential there for a big ball team. If it’s H2H, find the teams with the worst ft% and start making trades to get 2nd-4th rounders and work down from there.

          Lavoy is a decent player, but his game doesn’t attract a lot of stats. It would be a solid speculative add, but in a 10-team league (13 per team) there must be better, especially if people are holding players like DJ that are well outside of the top 130.

  • Crooked Commish

    Hey guys,

    Your thoughts on playoff strategy. I’m thinking of trading Wade and Brook Lopez for Pierce and David Lee. I figure Wade is too risky to keep for the fantasy playoffs because of the potential of Spoelstra resting him. Its a 9 cat H2H 14 team league. Thanks.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      It’s a fair deal in terms of value that you’ll be getting back in the trade, although I’d say that Pierce probably carries just as much risk with him as Wade. Pierce is a guy who could be moved by Boston and, if not, could also see some missed games down the stretch depending on what happens to the Celtics. The Warriors also have a horrible fantasy playoff schedule – with 4 straight weeks of 3 games.

      It’s not a bad trade, but more of a lateral move.

  • http://twitter.com/KristjanPulma Kristjan Pulma

    Hey guys I am nailed on as top 4 seed in one of my leagues. Would you suggest going for Kevin Love as a risky option to get me over the hump? Offer maybe Alan Anderson, Clark or Bismack? Thoughts?

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Yes, I’d consider going after Love if you are a lock for the playoffs at this point. It’s a risky move, but if it works out, it would be a game changer for your team. The problem will be prying him from the guy who is sitting on him. My guess is that out of the guys you mentioned, only Clark would be enough to make him consider it. Clark has been playing very well, so it’d be tough to give him up, but I just might do it if I were in your situation.

      • Razvan

        No one, absolutely no one will give you love for all 3 of them, let alone for 1.

        • http://twitter.com/KristjanPulma Kristjan Pulma

          Love for Clark and Anderson done. And a good deal for the other team too who is fighting to get in the playoffs.

  • zee

    Hawes a must add in standard leagues with Thad Young out?

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      I thought Hawes was going to be a must add with Bynum out, but that hasn’t really worked our great so far this year. He’ll likely get a few more minutes a game now for the next few weeks and based on the way he’s played lately… he’s probably around a top 75-85 player while Young is out.

  • Eugene Cha

    i give dragic and pierce and get tim duncan?

    • http://nelswadycki.com/ Nels

      If Duncan were healthy, sure… Even though he played, I still wouldn’t trust him. It was only 13 minutes… especially down the stretch, we know how Pop likes to sit Ducan.

  • http://twitter.com/TriniBBQRibs Dave L

    Bradley Beal was on a tear before he injured his wrist. My question is, do you think he can go on another on of those runs? And who has more upside Bradley Beal or Nick Young? I assume Nick Young will take a hit once/if Bynum comes back.

    • Sticky Mamba

      Nick Young, Richardson out a while and Bynum won’t take that much away from him, also Thaddeus Young injuries only improves Young’s outlook. At this point go with a healthy player.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Beal has more upside, but he’s also less likely to achieve that upside (at least this season) than a guy like Young. I’d also go with Young at least until Richardson comes back and maybe even longer if he sticks in that starting lineup. Young is playing as good right now as Beal did during his best run of the season.

  • Pavel

    Coaches, My team has been on a downswing the last couple of weeks. this is 16-teams, deep, h2h, very competitive (I’m still 2nd seed but ever-so-slightly).

    My Squad:

    Pg: Dragic, Lowry, Barbosa

    Sg: Wade, Harden, Foye

    Sf: Batum, Turkoglu, Harkless

    PF: Nowitzki, Seraphin

    C: Garnet, Perkins, Bynum

    Are my slumping players ever gonna get better (i.e. nowitzki, lowry, batum). Or should I just keep watching The Notebook with my tub of cookie cream and hope things get back to how they used to be..?!?

    • Razvan

      Wishful thinking… Dirk is only going to give you points, Batum has been banged up all season. We are all waiting on lowry, have him in 2 of my leagues, he will be fine i guess. I would trade Dirk and if you can get a Vucevic back that would be awesome, T Thomson even, if you can’t get Vuce.

      • Pavel

        you don’t think nowitzki will improve? in fact through advice on this site I was able to trade Monroe/hill/odom for lowry/nowtizky/foye. So should I really be trying to move nowitzki or will he come round right around playoff time?

        • Razvan

          I personally have not trusted Dirk this year, and i haven’t ever since i started playing in fantasy leagues. He is a uni dimensional player, besides points and % he is no good. I would want more contribution from first round players and especially from a big.

          IF you can find a taker who likes him i would trade him for the mentioned players. Lowry will be great, Dirk not.

        • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

          I would not break out the ice cream just yet. Yes, Dirk is improving as he slowly works himself back into game shape. In the 6 games before his most recent injury, Dirk had averaged 18 points, 6.5 boards, 2.5 assists and 0.8 threes a game. Not quite vintage Dirk, but the best he’s played at any point in the season and good for #53 on our rater for that span. As long as he can stay healthy, he should be a top 30 player by the end of the season once that FG% comes around. I would have patience with Dirk at this point.

  • http://www.facebook.com/jessie.ngo Jessie Ngo

    Kemba or Ty?

    • Razvan

      TY

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

      Ty, definitely.

      • http://twitter.com/TriniBBQRibs Dave L

        Based on the player rater (both YTD and last two weeks) Walker always ranks higher than Lawson. Are we picking Lawson because he seems to have turned the corner and might start playing like is did last year? I’m not question your selection, just trying to understand the reasoning.

        • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

          @twitter-325238977:disqus, my basis is the last week’s ratings and where I see them trending moving forward. Not only do I think Ty is FINALLY turning a corner, the Nuggets also have a decent schedule ahead. Their values should wind up much closer towards the end of the season, but I like Lawson’s better FG%.

  • http://www.facebook.com/jessie.ngo Jessie Ngo

    Anthony Davis or Nikola Vucevic? I need the blocks and rebounds and I am willing to trade Ersan.

    • Razvan

      I think Davis will be a better shot blocker but Vuce is a better all around player.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Vucevic is probably the slightly better pickup if you are looking for boards and blocks. He’s also going to to be the more obtainable one. You might have a tough time getting Davis for for Ilyasova..

  • AR55

    Hey guys, would you pick up Robin Lopez for Kosta Koufos for the long run?
    Hawes is also available. I’m looking to upgrade my big man stats. I also have Javale McGee and Deandre Jordan that I could maybe drop. Thanks!

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Hawes is probably your best bet, especially now that Thad Young is going to be out a few weeks. Although Lopez and maybe even Koufos are also better options than McGee. Jordan is probably a bust as well, but you might as well hold onto him as long as Griffin is out just to see how he follows up that 22 rebound game.

  • GW3102

    I dealt Foye, Pek, and Boozer for Vucevic and Brook Lopez. That was a no brainer, right? Thanks!

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      No brainer indeed. You got the two best players in the deal. Very, very nice upgrade for you.

      • GW3102

        Good to hear. Thanks!

      • boobiejr

        why is vucevic better than pek. minnesota has one of the best fantasy playoff schedules.

        • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

          Vucevic has been more consistent and isn’t as injury prone. Pek is dealing with small injuries.

        • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

          As Erik mentioned, the injuries are a tough thing to deal with when it comes to Pekovic. Vucevic is also a slightly better rebounder, shot blocker and has a slightly better FG%.

  • Sticky Mamba

    Beasley only played 20 minutes tonight. Product of his arrest?

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

      Let’s not speculate too much on it. Chalk it up as one of his bad games. He should bounce back soon enough.

  • Bonbon

    Steve Nash for John Wall (mine).

    Is this a silly transfer? Wall’s poor FG, no threes game are hurting my team.

    My team is a lebron + parker + harden + batum + hibbert + shooters team, so it’s an awkward team (fg, assists, blocks, threes, points) to be sure. A team more suited for roto than h2h.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

      I think you can swing for 2:2 where you gain some value on the “kicker” player. :)

      • Bonbon

        Is Nash still a valuable player though? More valuable than Wall?

        • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

          Yes he is valuable, especially since he fits your team’s theme. The thing is that you can likely squeeze some more value from your trade partner by doing a 2:2 instead of just 1:1.