Day 91: Where Bogut is Back

Due to the realities of life, today’s run down will have to be the abridged version. Back to you in full tomorrow.

Line of the Night: Paul George had a huge line in a loss to the Nuggets, scoring 23 points, and filling up the box score with 4 threes, 10 rebounds, 5 assists and 4 steals (2.52 WARP). Although his turnover at the end of the game to Andre Iguodala did cost the Pacers the win. Danny Granger could make his return sometime around the All-Star break, although the team doesn’t exactly have him on the fast track, so George owners should continue to ride George like he’s a one-way train to championship town.

In injury news, Stephen Curry had a “mild” sprain of his right ankle that forced him out of Monday’s game. Curry says that it’s not serious, but he’s likely doubtful for the Warriors game tonight. And let the ankle games begin!

Waiver Wire Line of the Night: Mighty-mite Nate Robinson (19% owned) has been putting up some lines lately, even while getting limited minutes off the Bulls bench behind Kirk Hinrich. Against the Bobcats, Robinson played 27 minutes off the bench and scored 15 points, with 3 threes, 7 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 steals, and 3 blocks (2.27 WARP) for his best fantasy game of the season. I’m not sure how much longer he can keep it up (and the return of Luol Deng to the Bulls lineup may eventually have a cascading effect on his minutes) but for now if you are looking for a guard, there is no one hotter than Robinson.

Pick Up Lines: Oh, wait. There is one person who have been even more explosive than Robinson. Jerryd Bayless (2% owned) got the start for the injured Mike Conley and exploded for 21 points, 5 rebounds and 9 assists (1.42 WARP) in 41 minutes against the Sixers. Conley tested his ankle in warm-ups before the game and didn’t like how his ankle felt, but that also means he’s a good bet to be back for the Grizzlies’ next game on Thursday, pushing Bayless back to the bench and zapping most of his value.

Aaron Gray (0% owned) made a surprise start at center for the Raptors (to counteract Andrew Bogut.. really?) and was surprisingly effective, scoring 22 points on 9-12 from the field, adding 10 rebounds and 2 steals (1.61 WARP). Gray has been putting up DNPs for the most part this season, so I wouldn’t expect this to become a thing, even if the thing did work on this one night thanks to the Warriors’ sloppy D.

Speaking of Andrew Bogut (48% owned), he made a surprise return to the court last night and was effective in his first game back, scoring 12 points, on 6-8 from the field, with 8 rebounds and 4 blocks (1.34 WARP) in 24 minutes. Bogut is obviously going to be high on people’s add lists today, but be warned that 1) he’s not going to be playing in back-to-back games anytime soon, so he’s out tonight for example, 2) his minutes are going to be capped for the immediate future, and 3) he’s not been able to stay healthy for any length of time over the past few years. But other than that, it’s all good.

Despite starting for the Pacers while Granger is out, Lance Stephenson (3% owned) had his first double-digit scoring game since Jan 12th, finishing with 20 points, on 8-13 from the field, with 8 rebounds and 4 assists (1.61 WARP)/ Considering his WARP is negative not only for the season but over the recent couple of weeks, leave him on the wire, even in deeper leagues.

And in the is this shit actually true news of the day, according to Wikipedia, Lance Stephenson has a younger brother named… Lantz.

With Arron Afflalo out with a strained left calf for the Magic, Maurice Harkless (1% owned) got the start in his place and had a game for himself, scoring 16 points on 7-10 from the field with 3 steals (1.17 WARP) in 34 minutes against the Nets. Afflalo’s injury is not serious and Harkless will only have value as long as Afflalo is out of the lineup.

Biggest Loser: That would be Andre Miller, who managed to turn the ball over 5 times in only 15 minutes against the Pacers, finishing with 5 points, 0 rebounds and 1 assist (-1.14 WARP) off the bench.

The Jazz were atrocious last night, losing to the Rockets 125-80 as they shot under 40% as a team. Paul Millsap was the worst of the Jazz starters, scoring 4 points (on 2-9 from the field), with 2 rebounds and 1 assist (-0.50 WARP) in 21 minutes.

***

Daily rankings and stats come from the FBC H2H Player Rater (beta version). They are based on the stat Wins Above Replacement Player (WARP) an estimate of the number of wins a player produces per week in H2H leagues over a replacement (waiver wire) player.

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  • Jessie Ngo

    Aaron Gray or Dalembert?

    • Jarvis Varnado

      lol

    • LukeAndButch

      How deep is this league?

    • http://nelswadycki.com/ Nels

      Honestly, I wouldn’t pick up either. They’ve both missed a lot of games and they’ve played really poorly. If pressed, I’d go Gray just because his one good game is better than Dalembert’s and he got more minutes.

  • Guest

    There has to be better options out there.

  • Bonbon

    Millsap vs vucevic. After his stinker today, is now the perfect buy low scenario for millsap? Is klay overpaying for millsap? If so, klay for vucevic.., is this fair trade?

    Tyreke Evans … What is his trade value? Is he a one for one trade for millsap or vucevic?

    • http://nelswadycki.com/ Nels

      I am having a bit of trouble understanding what all this means, so here’s my ordering:

      Vucevic (slightly higher than Millsap and Klay, but probably fair trade for either)

      Millsap

      Klay

      Tyreke (way behind the rest. I wouldn’t trade Vucevic or Millsap for Tyreke even if I really needed more Assists)

      • Bonbon

        Thanks for the tip there.

        Is millsap’s ceiling higher than vucevic’s? His adp would have been around 3rd round I think?

        • http://nelswadycki.com/ Nels

          The way Vucevic is playing, I’d say they’re about even. Even if Millsap gets traded (or if Jefferson gets traded), I think he’ll only probably match what Vucevic is doing right now.

  • Draison23

    What are your thoughts on Jimmy Butler? He went back to the bench but still played 31 minutes last night. If Thibs trusts him for 25min/night or so, would he be worth an add? I’m trying to decide if I should drop Matt Barnes for him. Thanks.

    • http://nelswadycki.com/ Nels

      I picked up Butler in one of my leagues, but I’m a Bulls fan, so maybe I’m a bit biased. He does appear to be taking over Rip’s minutes, and Thibodeau seems to like playing guys he likes 40 minutes a game no matter how much the Bulls are up by. I’d be hesitant to swap out Barnes, but he’s definitely not playing as well as Butler right now.

      • Draison23

        I’m a Bulls fan as well which makes this decision much harder lol. It looks like Barnes is tied to Paul in terms of how well he plays. So I am hesitant as well without knowing how bad Paul’s injury really is.

  • http://www.ryusha.com/ Berliner

    Greetings from Arnhem in the Netherlands. My train to Duisburg got cancelled due to some apocalyptic accident and I’m stuck here for the next 2 hours. Just wanted to give you an update on my team and would like some thoughts on what I can do to ease my pain of losing MY Rondo.

    I picked up A. Bogut, because he’s Australian and he’s fragile and I only had to drop Aminu to get him. After Rondo (AR from now on), everything is a gamble this season. I also had to make some changes with my FT% and the main culprit has always been D. Howard. I shipped him and J. Cuervoron for J. Teague and General Greivis. So, I did exactly something that I shouldn’t do, which is to compensate for my length, ahem, my shortcomings on assists and steals AR and got 2 dudes who will contribute on the assists and steals front.

    I have a surplus of big boys on my team and I was getting really irritated with Dwight and his crappy performance this year. And if the Lakers fail to make the playoffs, he will shut it down, which means no’ Ho’ for the playoffs.

    I think I’m also a bit high on chai tea latte at the moment.

    So, let’s see if Bogut can be my saviour and my trade didn’t ruin it for me this season.

    • http://nelswadycki.com/ Nels

      I approve of your trade. Howard hasn’t been good enough (especially recently) to make up for his awful FT%. Over the last 7 games, he’s at barely 12 and 10… If he could make 5 of his 7 FTs instead of only 3 of them, he’d be up to 14 and 10… Not much better, but his FT% wouldn’t kill you either. You definitely picked up assists which will help AR. Plus Calderon is trending down, so I think you got some good value there.

      • http://www.ryusha.com/ Berliner

        Now my therapy for the day is complete. Thanks Nels. :)

        If I win it all, despite AR this year, it will be one of the biggest accomplishments in my life.
        Not sad at all as my wife said she was proud of me when I won it last year. Wait, maybe she was being sarcastic.
        Oh no…

  • Eugene Cha

    what do i do with jason richardson? i’m 3rd in my league. is keeping on to kevin love a good idea?

    • http://nelswadycki.com/ Nels

      Wow… I thought I was the patient one… I would have dropped Richardson a while ago…

      At 3rd place, I would keep Love. He was #66 during the18 games he played, so while he might not live up to where you picked him, he’s still probably going to be better than anyone on the waiver wire.

  • Velvet

    Hi GMTR, would you do a Klay Thompson + Joe Johnson for OJ Mayo and Kyle Korver?

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

      I am for the Thompson+Johnson side of this deal. We believe that OJ’s hot start will eventually correct itself and taper off a bit.

  • sanny350z

    Drop Gordon Hayward for Courtney Lee?

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

      Lee is intriguing. I made a similar move in the FBC 12-man H2H Readers League