Day 90: Oh No! No More Rondo!

Rondo

Bad News of the Night: Rajon Rondo is out for the season with a torn ACL.

Fantasy Fallout:

  1. For obvious reasons, drop Rondo. Suck it up and hold onto him if he’s a keeper.
  2. Add Avery Bradley, Courtney Lee. Leandro Barbosa, Jason Terry – Most likely in that order of priority.
  3. Vets like Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett will step up their production. They’re going to try and show the world what a “Big 2″ can do.

Injury of the NightMike Conley sprained his ankle and is now in a walking boot. He left the game early, did not return and ended up with 0 points, 0 rebounds, 1 assists (-0.52 WARP)

*Add Jerryd Bayless (2% owned) 14 points, 5 assists, 3 steals (0.88 WARP). He will likely take Conley’s minutes tonight and possibly a game or two… or more… Well hopefully not “more”

On to some “happy news”… 

Line of the Night: LeBron James killed it, big time, with an awesome line. But his 34 points, 3 threes, 16 rebounds, 7 assists, and 3 steals weren’t enough to lift the Heat against the motivated Celtics in double overtime. (2.50 WARP)

Honorable Mentions: Kevin Garnett flipped his “Game on!” switch and decided that his team was not going to go gentle into that good night in the wake of the loss of his team’s star PG. Expect similar lines like his 24 points, 11 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 steals, 3 blocks every now and then until the end of the season, or until his knees give out… whichever comes first. (2.18 WARP)

Carmelo Anthony  (2.14 WARP) and  J.J. Redick (1.97 WARP) decided drop bombs on their respective opponents like it was Operation Arclight and they just loved “the smell of napalm in the morning…” Melo had 42 points, 9 threes, 5 rebounds in a tight win against the Atlanta Hawks, while Reddick had a career night for the Magic with 31 points, 8 threes, 6 rebounds, 3 steals as Orlando fell to Detroit.

Meanwhile in Tinseltown, Kobe Bryant channeled his inner Steve Nash and came up with an impassioned victory against the Oklahoma City Thunder. We’d love to see more of his 21 points, 8-12 from the field, 9 rebounds, 14 assists as he and the Lakers sort themselves out. (1.96 WARP)

Brandon Knight led the Detroit Pistons to victory through his 31 points, 12-16 from the field, 5 threes. This was arguably his best performance of the season so far and a Rodney Stuckey DNP-CD on served to help his cause. At the end of the day though, Brandon Knight’s worst enemy this season has been Brandon Knight. Let’s hope that this will lead to the one true thing owners want out of him… Consistency  (1.82 WARP)

Jeff Teague did his darn best to give the Hawks a W against this season’s new and improved New York Knicks, but alas his 27 points, 9-15 from the field, 7-7 from the line, 5 rebounds, 6 assists, and 2 steals were not enough to outclass Carmelo Anthony’s above-mentioned performance. (1.77 WARP)

Waiver Wire Line of the Night: DeShawn Stevenson (1% owned) is back from injury and jumped into “productive mode” right away. While we can’t and shouldn’t expect him to do 15 points, 5-7 from the field, 4 threes on a nightly basis. But assuming he is now 100%, there should be enough touches and minutes to go around for him to improve prior to Lou Williams’ injury. (0.97 WARP)

Pick Up Lines: Kyle Singler (12% owned) appears to be also another fantasy beneficiary of the absence of Rodney Stuckey. Keep him on your watch lists as we might see him do a comeback surge and do even better than 10 points, 2 steals (0.90 WARP)

In an odd game where Arron Afflalo was the only starter who didn’t hit double figures, it was E’Twaun Moore (4% owned) who stepped up and scored 18 points, and collected 2 steals off the bench. (0.87 WARP)

P.J. Tucker (0% owned) is showing signs of life and a pretty decent game with 12 points, 4-4 from the line, 5 rebounds, 5 assists. (0.82 WARP) He won’t shoot threes. He won’t wow you with huge games. But if you’re playing a percentages-specialized or efficiency-oriented team in a DEEP league, he is worth considering.

Jason Smith (2% owned) in a scary way, is just adding to the woes of Robin Lopez owners out there. Yes all 13 of them. Smith out performed his starting counterpart, again, with 16 points, 5-7 from the field, 5 rebounds, 2 blocks. And yes, that’s exactly the kind of line Lopez owners were expecting him to maintain throughout, what we thought was, his (hopefully not) failed attempt at a break out season.  (0.77 WARP) I’m sorry, was I a little bit too harsh and heavy handed? If I was, I apologize to the 13 people who own him.

Biggest Loser: Considering that the Celtics were WITHOUT Rajon Rondo, I find it unforgivable that Mario Chalmers would produce a line like 0 points, 1 rebounds, 2 assists. Ugh! … make that “double Ugh!”(-1.19 WARP)

Dwight Howard, who apparently should be traded, for apparently the someone as good as Jason Smith, was no real help to the Lakers and his fantasy owners as he put up a lousy line with 8 points (2-10 from the line), 10 rebounds, and 1 assists. (-1.16 WARP) #WTF? #OMGTRADEHIMALREADYPLS!

Greivis Vasquez had an off night with 5 points (2-16 from the field), 2 rebounds, 11 assists, 4 turnovers. He should bounce back soon enough. Uh well, at least his assists, and uh, his turnovers are still there… (-0.87 WARP)

***

Daily rankings and stats come from the FBC H2H Player Rater (beta version). They are based on the stat Wins Above Replacement Player (WARP) an estimate of the number of wins a player produces per week in H2H leagues over a replacement (waiver wire) player.

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  • RossTheBossPalmer

    I dropped Frolo, my opponent this week picked him up… Good luck with that. Far too frustrating to own.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      That nickname cracked me up. One fro to rule them all.

  • http://twitter.com/conradburry Conrad Burry

    Cumulative scoring weekly league. Format: (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK+3PM) – ((FGA-FGM)+(FTA-FTM)+TO). A couple decisions:

    1. Melo (3 games), Griff (3 games) or D. Lee (4 games)?
    2. Harden (3 games), Kyrie (3 games) or Curry (4 games)?
    3. Al Jeff, Dwight, Noah, Vuc, or Monroe (all 4-gamers)?

    My initial logic tells me Lee, Curry, and Al Jeff, but I’d enjoy some more opinions. Thanks!

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      1. I’d go with Lee due to the extra game.
      2. Definitely Curry, nearly as good as Harden and the extra game.
      3. Jefferson seems like a good fit with that scoring system.

  • Bonbon

    Hey coaches, here’s my team:
    Guards: Parker, wall, rose, Batum, harden, klay Thompson, OJ mayo
    Forwards: Lebron, Pau, Amir, Tristan T, Tyreke Evans, Hibbert.

    In the earlier months, my team was flying in threes due to OJ’s lights out shooting, and I had knight and Mullens then too. But since I dropped knight and Mullens, I noticed my FG has been better (surprise2) but I now continue to lose threes every week.

    I checked out my team using the team eater and it looks like my team is now weak in threes (based on past month data).

    Looking at my team above, what do u think my team’s strengths are? I was thinking if trading Klay for Millsap or Vucevic. This will basically transform my team to be a big ball team but with strong assists.

    Thoughts?

    • Bonbon

      *team rater.:)

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Your team strengths appear to be FG%, FT%, assists, blocks, and points. A weird combo to be sure, but LeBron does that I guess. Your weakest category is turnovers and while you are below average in threes, it’s not a huge weakness. You still have some good three point shooters in Thompson, Mayo, Batum and Harden, so it is a category you can be competitive in. I don’t think you HAVE to punt it. Still, it looks like our rater does like it when you go a little bigger – it likes the Millsap especially. Trading off Klay’s threes for a better position in rebounds and blocks does seem to improve your win percentage slightly.

      If you do go ahead with the trade, you may also want to look to move Mayo for a better combination of assists, steals or points, which will be more in line with the categories you need.

      • Bonbon

        Thanks for the tip there.

        It’s definitely an odd combo. Having Lebron & Parker (FG Kings), Harden (FT Second Best to KD), Batum (ultimate glue guy) – really makes it interesting. In hindsight, I probably shouldn’t have drafted Rose as a stash since I’m quite overloaded by assists as is … but who was to know Batum and OJ would become their teams’ primary playmakers. lol.

        Millsap has been underwhelming this season though. Between Vucevic and Millsap, who would u say its a better player for my team? So far, Vucevic has been flying under the radar, but i feel i am overpaying if i trade Klay.

  • Red

    Is Hawes a must own in standard leagues? Will he continue his production throughout the season?

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      We’ve got Hawes ranked at #85 overall over the last two weeks of games according to our player rater, so yeah, he’s playing well enough that he’s worth a look in all leagues for now, despite being fairly inconsistent from game to game. If Bynum ever gets back to the court, it will have a negative effect on Hawes’ value, but I’ll believe that when I see that.

  • illusionz

    14×14 Standard 9 Cat Roto league. I am currently in second place with 86.5 points. I have a 4 in blocks. I was recently offered Brook Lopez and Dion Waiters (Probably will drop waiters b/c of his horrible FG so essentially a 2 for 1) for Carlos Boozer and Jarret Jack. FG is probably the next thing i need to shore up as I have a 7 in FG. Everything else I am strong (have a 10 to 14) in except TOs which I am punting.

    I want to counter offer, however Lopez fills the needs and don’t want the opportunity to acquire him to go away. Thoughts?

    • Steven Leung

      lopez > boozer and jack…..accept asap

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      I agree, Lopez has been better than Boozer + Jack this season, although the difference isn’t huge, as both Jack and Boozer have played better than most people expected going into the year. Still, I’d make that trade as is.

  • mattyice

    Bayless, will Bynum, or chalmers?

    • illusionz

      Bayless as long as conley’s out and then Bynum as long as Stuckey is in the doghouse.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      I agree, roll with Bayless as long as Conley remains out.

  • Peso

    Avery Bradley or Big Baby? I’m worried that the Truth will become a point-forward and gobble up all the assists.

    • illusionz

      Big Baby.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      I agree, I’d go with Davis. Bradley is no assist man. His two best skills are back door cuts and getting all up in the face of opposing ball handlers. Nice skills for an NBA team to have, but not the greatest fantasy assets.

  • Slick

    14 team h2h 9 cat daily league..got offered his jeff teague for my pau gasol..should I accept?

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      As long as Gasol is on the Lakers, Teague is likely to have more value. If (when?) Gasol gets traded, he’ll likely have more value again It would probably depend on the situation I was in. If I was playing small and just wanted a consistent player down the stretch, then I could see doing the trade, otherwise, I’d gamble on Gasol getting traded before the deadline and regaining most or all his value.

  • Amex

    12 x 13 9Cat Roto
    I get Ellis and Cousins, he gets Jefferson and Kwahi. Do it?

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Just in terms of overall value, it’s pretty even. Using the last month of stats, each side is worth around 1.1 wins per week. You will pick up a good amount of counting stats in the trade though – especially scoring (at the cost of your percentages), so it depends on whether you want to move your team in that direction.

      • Amex

        Swapping Kwahi with JR Smith, or Love (I doubt he will take Love)?

  • Sticky Mamba

    Best add: Hark, N young, C Lee, Robinson, Chandler, Bayless? Drop: Hayward or Barnes? Thanks brosefs

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Bayless while Conley is out, Robinson after that. I would drop Hayward unless you need the points.

  • zee

    If Hawes and Favors on the wire, Favors is much better pickup, right? Since 1) Hawes is only marginally better, 2) Bynum’s return, 3) Big Al/Millsap trade deadline?

    • Bonbon

      I have to say Favors, especially after today’s debacle vs Rockets. Utah is not going anywhere with their current team.

      They need to blow it up and go young, i reckon.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

      Favors, based on all the reasons you’ve mentioned.

  • sam

    Would you trade Parson for Ilyasova ??

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

      Yes. I think Ilyasova’s days of yo-yo-ing in fantasy value are behind him now. Well at least for now.

  • Razvan

    We often talk about a 2 for 1 deals, but what happens when you have certain players that are stars, Melo,Dwill and you want some blk,stl,FG% and you can’t find a trade unless i take a hit on FT%,PTS(a given) and AST?

    How do i balance a trade and who can i get for those two to help my team? I need some ast back to and some scoring as well but all the trades i explored gets me losing more than I get.

    For instance, one guy likes melo and he has Davis,Iguodala,Gallinari,G.Hill as his best players, i tried getting Davis,Iguodala for Melo,Lowry and he didn’t like it and after going to basketballmonster i was losing by a lot.

    Another guy has Teague,Wade, Aldridge and i offer him:

    BGK traded Dwyane Wade, Mia SG to TMD
    BGK traded Jeff Teague, Atl PG to TMD
    TMD traded Carmelo Anthony, NY SF to BGK
    TMD traded Kyle Lowry, Tor PG to BGK

    He refused it

    A while ago i proposed:

    BGK traded Rajon Rondo*, Bos PG to TMD
    BGK traded LaMarcus Aldridge, Por PF to TMD
    BGK traded Dwyane Wade, Mia SG to TMD
    TMD traded Greivis Vasquez, Nor PG to BGK
    TMD traded Carmelo Anthony, NY SF to BGK
    TMD traded Al Horford, Atl C to BGK

    How glad i am he rejected it

    I am not sure who to get, ibaka is hard to get, he wants melo i guess, sanders,duncan belong to and idiot, mark gasol is mine.

    What is the trade value of melo,dwill when you look for fantasy gold, stl,blk,FT,FG etc?

    • brian

      When I think of balancing a trade for 1 for 2 for a 1st rounder, I think the return has to be around either:

      1) 2nd and 4th rounder

      2) 2 3rd rounders

      Roster spots are valuable, so I feel that trading a 1st round talent really necessitates getting back more overall value. I would compare overall value by putting the player that will be dropped in the trade analysis. For the stats you’re looking for, I would consider Al Jeff, Batum, Wade, Bosh, and on the lower end, AK47, Millsap

      The guy that likes melo, I wouldn’t trade with him, his team is horrible, lol. No combination of those players is worth melo imo. Good luck with it, getting an actual trade done is difficult. I’ve been floating trade offers all season and no dice. I have to remind myself that making a trade has some steep requirements: both sides willing to make a trade and then personal valuations of players to align in a way that both sides feel they’re coming out ahead.

      • Razvan

        Thanks Brian, i agree most of the owners don t want to trade. I have to get a 1 for 1 trade really because i don t want to go over the pace, i m on a roto league, that makes it even harder. Itraded away big al for marc gasol earlier in the season as i though they will trade him. Itraded bosh because he is not great in anything and the lack of blk was killing me.

        What are the players i should offer melo or deron for that help me in those categories, 1 for 1 i guess

        • brian

          Ah, roto, lol, I’m not very strong in roto. I think a good target for dwill could be noah, that would be great for you. If he doesn’t want it though, melo would be paying too much. Another one for dwill would be anthony davis, that’s some risk but would defn help you cover ground in those stats if he can be healthy. Thad Young is also getting those stats too. Getting a 1 for 1 for melo is hard to project, b/c each owner probably feels very particular about their 1st rounder/best player. Don’t have any suggestions there :( I think you may have to go 2 for 2, like melo/horford for al jeff/batum.

          But one thing I do think is a good start (and you may already have done this) is to see which team needs melo’s stats (points, 3s, ft%) and try to work them over.

          • Razvan

            Where have you been? besides the 3 guys and Berliner there is no other guy who has anything to offer here, until now, so, welcome aboard :)

            Yes 2 for 2 would be easier, i already have batum this is my team:
            D. Williams (PG)
            G. Vasquez (PG)
            K. Bryant (SG)
            K. Lowry (PG)
            A. Horford (C)
            C. Anthony (SF)
            D. Favors (PF)
            G. Monroe (C)
            K. Love (PF)
            M. Gasol (C)
            N. Batum (SF)
            S. Hawes (C)
            T. Thompson (SF)

            I’m in 2nd place.
            Last in FG%,6th in STL,4th in BLK – 10 teams

            I can’t believe with this team i am 15 points away from no1. That guy is killing it.

            Giving up Dwill for davis is too much, and it will hurt my FT% and AST big time, while getting some FG% and BLK but not a lot. I’ve tried Ibaka,George for Melo,Monroe and i don’t think he will accept it. Should i give him Horford? He’s playing great lately and i think they are going to trade Smith, which will pump up his value even more.

          • brian

            Wow, that’s quite a team. So far this season Ibaka George for Horford Melo would be a good trade overall value wise for you, but if you’re right about Smith, then maybe not. Doing that trade doesn’t address your fg% issues tho, you probably come out a little worse. If you’re last in fg%, I’d look to move Dwill before melo, as that would directly address fg%.

          • Razvan

            Yup, its even harder to trade dwill, i will miss his AST and i don’t think i can get anyone close to 10 ast/game. I will try though.

            These are my current trade proposals:

            Receive Paul George, Ind SG from Hook to Bench

            Receive Serge Ibaka, OKC C from Hook to Bench

            Send Carmelo Anthony, NY SF from PF to Hook

            Send Greg Monroe, Det C from F to Hook
            —————————————————————————————————–

            Receive Kyrie Irving, Cle PG from Ill to Bench

            Receive Paul Millsap, Uta PF from Ill to Bench

            Send Carmelo Anthony, NY SF from PF to Ill

            Send Kyle Lowry, Tor PG from Bench to Ill
            ——————————————————————————————————-

            Receive George Hill, Ind PG from JUNG to Bench

            Receive Anthony Davis, Nor PF from JUNG to Bench

            Send Greg Monroe, Det C from F to JUNG

            Send Kyle Lowry, Tor PG from Bench to JUNG

            —————————————————————————————————

            Receive Paul Pierce, Bos SF from 3CC to Bench

            Send Kyle Lowry, Tor PG from Bench to 3CC

            —————————————————————————————————

            Receive Serge Ibaka, OKC C from Hook to Bench

            Receive Chris Paul*, LAC PG from Hook to Bench

            Send Carmelo Anthony, NY SF from PF to Hook

            Send Deron Williams, Bkn PG from G to Hook

            Conditionally drop JaVale McGee, Den C to Free Agency