Day 76: We Like Our Curry Extra Hot!

Stephen Curry

Line of the Night: For the few, the brave, and all throughout the pre-draft period called insane by many; the managers who drafted Stephen Curry, congratulations! He’s been excellent and so far his ankles are holding up. *nervously knocks on wood* Seriously, Curry has been an investment well gambled on so far. Last night’s performance where he caught fire and torched the lights out of (well tried to) of Denver was just a small taste of what it’s like when The Curry gets extra hot! Unfortunately, his 29 points, 11-18 from the field, seven threes, and seven assists weren’t enough to get Golden State the win. (2.36 WARP)

Honorable Mentions: If you told me last October that Tim Duncan would be a fantasy sleeper this season. I would have laughed in your face. Ironically though, by the results so far, you would be right and I’d be eating my words of scoffing nature. Duncan didn’t even need to log 30 minutes of time on the floor to log 12 points, 9 rebounds, 5 assists, 3 steals, SEVEN blocks!  Wow! (2.21 WARP)

The Oklahoma City Thunder were without Serge Ibaka and Thabo Sefolosha so it was up to Kevin Durant kick his production up a notch with 33 points, 6 assists,  and 2 blocks. (1.94 WARP)

Paul George had more thefts this past week than The Pink Panther has in all his movies. We’ve heard of players going through breakout seasons via an explosion of production. Consider yourselves warned and get ready for Defcon 5, as George’s value has just gone nuclear. His FG% still leaves something to be desired, but with his counting stats up across the board, who can really complain?  I mean he got six steals last night to go with a double-double. Ka-boom! Sick. Am sure his owners (yours truly among them included – in no less than 3 leagues this season) enjoyed his15 points, 3 threes, 12 rebounds, and 6 steals last night. (1.83 WARP)

After what Jose Calderon did last night, I’m sure all of you Kyle Lowry owners are going to come to us for advice on what to do with him. The short answer is to hold onto him for now. Bench him if you want to. But for now it looks like we’re going to see more nights of Calderon doing 21 points, 9-15 from the field, 3 threes, and eight assists. (1.79 WARP)

LaMarcus Aldridge and Nicolas Batum were the lone bright spots for the Portland Trail Blazers last night. Aldridge had a good showing against the Ibaka-less Thunder and had a solid outing with 33 points, 11 rebounds, and two blocks. (1.73 WARP)

Waiver Wire Line of the Night: Frankly I’m surprised to find out how Amir Johnson is not owned in about 79% of leagues in Yahoo. Yes he’s running on tweaked ankles, but dang can Amir really bring it on when he has opportunities to shine. Take last night for example as he drew another start for the Raptors. He was impressive as he filled up the stat sheet with 22 points, 4-4 from the line, 14 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 steals, 2 blocks. (2.11 WARP)

Pick Up Lines: Harrison Barnes (45% owned) is heating up. He scored a career-high 21 points, 8-11 from the field, 5 threes, 6 rebounds. He’s predicted to be a potential second-half-of-the-season stud, but we’ll hold off on drastic judgments until we see more consistency. Last night was a good bump in the right direction though. (1.50 WARP)

Antawn Jamison (27% owned) is a scary yet potentially rewarding add, but his value is directly connected to how soon Pau Gasol can be cleared to return to action. To err on the side of caution it would probably be best to observe nights where he gets 16 points, 5-7 from the field, 4 threes, 2 steals from a safe distance. (1.49 WARP)

Andre Miller (47% owned) is a worthy deep-league add if your team is in need of an on-and-off PG who can have good nights that look something like 12 points, 5-8 from the field, 6 rebounds, 8 assists, 2 steals (1.43 WARP)

Chris Copeland (0% owned) did well last night with 22 points, 9-15 from the field, 4 threes; but he’s too inconsistent to be recommended as an add right now. (1.24 WARP)

As far as Earl Clark (1% owned) is concerned, unless you’re in a deep league, similar to Jamison; let his games go. Just resist his tempting 13 points, 9 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 blocks (1.06 WARP).

Biggest Loser: Kevin Martin had an off night with 4 points (1-8 from the field), 2 rebounds, 2 assists (-0.90 WARP). Minutes were not an issue, so just consider it as a dud game and that he should bounce back in the next one.

Ryan Anderson has been getting more volatile ever since Eric Gordon and Al-Farouq Aminu rejoined the starting lineup. Don’t panic just yet. His good games are still worthwhile. It’s just that owners will have to brace themselves for more nights where he does 7 points (3-12 from the field), 5 rebounds, 0 assists (-0.69 WARP)

Dion Waiters was not too good off the bench last night, but he did  manage to score 15 points (7-18 from the field), 1 rebounds, 2 assists. It was his 4 turnovers  that dragged his value down. (-0.40 WARP)

Jarrett Jack is still not 100% healthy and owners would be best served to temporarily bench him until he gets back on track. Last night’s 10 points (4-11 from the field), 4 rebounds, 8 assists, 5 turnovers are already steps in the right direction. (-0.32 WARP)

***

Daily rankings and stats come from the FBC H2H Player Rater (beta version). They are based on the stat Wins Above Replacement Player (WARP) an estimate of the number of wins a player produces per week in H2H leagues over a replacement (waiver wire) player.

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  • durant

    Day 63? Hmmm…

    • http://nelswadycki.com/ Nels

      Fixed.

  • Juan Cosico

    All this hurt ankle news about Amir Johnson has me worried long term. Ed Davis is available on the wire, would he be a better keep? I’d hate to drop Amir though as he’s straight up BALLIN’ out there.

    • Peyton

      Tough call. Both are legit. Davis is more likely to keep his starting spot once Bargnani comes back. It’s really a gut call, though. Maybe even drop someone else and play both!

      • Juan Cosico

        hahah i have calderon too…3 raptors! .. well..I am Canadian…hmm.

        • http://nelswadycki.com/ Nels

          I’d stick with Amir. Davis is definitely a second choice… He’ll only keep his starting spot while Jonas V. is out, so really, they’re both just really good back up players. Amir is playing better so go with him.

  • http://twitter.com/conradburry Conrad Burry

    H2H avgs-based pts league (ast = 2, pts/reb/blk/stl = 1, TOs = -1).

    Start Sullinger or Asik this week?
    Start Dudley or Lowry this week?

    • Peyton

      Asik and Lowry. Phoenix only has 2 games this week and Dudley may not even play both of them (wrist).

      • http://nelswadycki.com/ Nels

        Agreed.

  • Eric

    I have a couple trades in line and I was wondering what you guys thought of them? H2H 12 team league.

    1st trade: I’m giving up Kevin Durant, John Wall, and Derrick Williams for James Harden, Tim Duncan, and Tyson Chandler

    I’ve been 2nd in assists totals for the league even without John Wall and I can use some rebounds and blocks. Also, this is a league based in Seattle so Durant has some emotional value haha do you think I can squeeze a little more (like upgrade Chandler for Randolph) or is this trade lopsided?

    2nd trade: John Wall for Tyson Chandler

    What do you guys think?

    • illusionz

      do 2nd trade, definitely keep durant, he is far and away best fantasy player. Duncan will get DNPs towards the second half of the season.

      • Eric

        So you like the fact that I can get Chandler for Wall? Thanks for your opinion, much appreciated!

        • illusionz

          i think wall before he got injured as due for a breakout year, ala D.Rose in his 3rd year and he looked great his first game back. You have to balance that with possible risk of re-injuring and the fact you want to shore up boards and blocks which chandler is great for.

          one thing i would suggest however in H2H is to stack onto your strong categories and not try to shore up your weaknesses. That’s just my 2 cents, I try to make it so there are 5 categories I will almost win for sure by the time playoffs come around.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

      Since you’re in a league based in Seattle, squeeze what you can if you’re intent on letting go of Durant. I personally wouldn’t let him go though. How many SFs block and board like he can? I think Wall for Chandler, based solely on last season’s numbers is fair, but I do agree that Wall is HUNGRY and will be looking to explode. He will still hurt FG% though.

  • http://twitter.com/TrevorWilliamK Trevor William Koch

    Amigos~

    What do you guys think of the following:

    My: Stephen Curry and Paul George, for
    His: Kirilenko, Lamarcus Aldridge, David Lee

    Mind you I’m playing big.
    ps- hi kev.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

      It’s a respectable trade from a value standpoint, but my I have a few questions. 1. Having a big-ball team STL as a kicker cat, is also good. Are you currently winning those big-man numbers? 2. Who do you have left to replace a good FG% PG? 3. The components on his end are light on blocks, do you have enough?

      • http://twitter.com/TrevorWilliamK Trevor William Koch

        My game plan in the draft was big w/ steals. George and Curry are the reason I’m winning that category. Sometimes if I add a hot three pt shooting FA (like my last week’s Delfino) they can help me swing 3′s against other big teams. I really just want AK for his 1blk 1stl. This trade came from that request. Although it appears I’d be gaining a bit of value I feel like I’m not gaining an edge in any new categories except points (which I’m not that high in). Unsure. =/

        • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

          Well Trevor, it seems like the only “big reason” to pull the trigger, at least in my opinion, is if you want your new team to get +PTS, REB, FG%, and some blk. In the end though, you are losing the two best players in the deal. It’s a big move for your team as it alters its category landscape by giving up 3s and STLs almost completely as I assume those two guys are your top producers in those categories. Personally, I feel it’s too early to zero in on “some” cats and still try to win “as many as possible.” Streamlining for a 5-4 win-lock should be only done much closer to the fantasy basketball playoffs.

  • Peso

    Is Ish Thomas for real? I’m looking to pick him or Big Baby up?

    Also, should I stash Varejao for the minimum 2 months he is out or cut bait? Varejao was my edge in boards, so I’m unsure of what to do. Plus I don’t know what the recovery is like for quad repairs and the effects of it.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

      As much as Keith Smart would like to deny it in his head, Thomas is for real. I’d pick him up for sure. I’ve seen Varejao dropped in most leagues already. I’d focus on strengthening my team with solid players going into the all-star break.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Regarding the Varejao injury, his split right quadricepts sounds like a pretty unique injury. I wasn’t able to find any other recent NBA player who shared that injury. His official timetable is 6-8 weeks, but given his injury history (he was weeks late coming back from his injury last year), I’d assume that he’ll be out at least 8 weeks, if not more. Don’t be afraid to drop him.

  • http://twitter.com/_fabiolugo Fábio Lugó

    Who starts this week- Darrel Collison, Kyle Lowry or Isaia Thomas?thanks

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

      Collison has 4 games vs Thomas’ 3, so I would go with Collison.

  • http://twitter.com/TriniBBQRibs Dave L

    h2h 9 category league and in first place. Too early to stash Bynam? Or wait a week or so?

    • illusionz

      depends how far ahead in first place you are, if you can afford it i would probably stash him now.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

      Here’s an interesting perspective: If the team you project to meet in the playoffs gets a healthy Bynum, would it beat your team to the ground? If the answer is “no,” I wouldn’t bother.

  • Ascott

    Hi guys, love your site. Have a dilemma. Derrick Favors has been underwhelming recently, and I need production due to the fact I’m losing. Problem is, trade deadline is weeks away, and I’ve hung on for this long. Question, should I drop Favors for Okafor? If he even becomes a mini-Favors of sorts if he does get unleashed, I feel I made a worthwhile drop/add, given my current situation. Opinions on the matter? Thanks.
    P.S. waiver wire is pretty bare, with Fields, Prince, Odom, Turk, Mullens and Dorell rounding out the list.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      What place are you currently in? With the trade deadline still about a month away, I would be inclined to drop Favors based on the way he’s been playing lately if you need production now. A month is still a long time to wait for a trade that might not even happen.

      There are certain situations where it can make sense to stash someone like Favors, but probably not in your situation.

      • Ascott

        I’m close to last place, and in dire need of big man production right now. So I make the drop? Favors for Okafor?

        • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

          Yes, make the move. You need to start getting some wins under your belt asap.

  • RossTheBossPalmer

    Bledsoe over Robin Lopez? Speculative add

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      I like Bledsoe – and if he ever gets a starting job either due to a trade or CP3 injury he’s an immediate add in every single league – but I don’t see the Clippers trading him this year. There are probably better speculative add options out there.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Whoops, I didn’t realize that Paul IS actually injured. It’s probably not too big of a deal, but if you’ve got the ability to pickup and play/stash Bledsoe at least over the short-term, I’d consider doing it. You will probably lose Lopez to another team if you make the move, but it’s not a huge loss the way Lopez has been playing.

  • Nick

    I got offered this trade:
    My Millsap and Rubio for his Batum and Lin.

    My gut says do it but I’ve made a ton of trades this season and I think I need to stop soon. It’s like an addiction.

    • Sticky Mamba

      I would do it. Love being out will affect rubios numbers and batum is a monster. Millsap also needs a trade to do anything near his ADP. Lin is what he is.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Why quit today when you can quit tomorrow? The trade isn’t quite the complete steal for you that I first thought it might be because Millsap has quietly played much better recently after his slow start to the season. But Batum has been fantastic this year (a top 10 fantasy player) and I’d jump at the chance to grab him if I were you. And on the PG portion of the deal, all things being equal Rubio would have more value than Lin, but he’s still working his way back from injury very slowly and it’s still going to be a while until he’s back at full speed. Go for it.

    • Juan Cosico

      Definitely pick up Batum..then you can try and flip Lin later.

  • Sticky Mamba

    Hello Fellows! I have a question. I have a good amount of blocks, want to know if I should trade JR and Smooth for Monta and Cousins? I am worried about Iman and amare stealing touches from JR and I think Monta might start to ball? Thoughts? thanks dudes!

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      I don’t mind the concept of trading the Smiths, especially if you’ve got an excess of blocks, although I’m not in love with the deal you’ve thrown out. Cousins is a fine big, although he’s a slight downgrade from Smith. Ellis has actually been worse in the 4 games since Jim Boylan took over than his season averages. It’s a small sample size to infer anything for sure, but the early signs don’t point to him exploding now that Skiles is gone. This trade seems like a lateral move for you most likely.

      As far as J.R. goes, I actually think he’ll retain most if not all his value even with Shumpert on the court. Shumpert could easily soak up all of Ronnie Brewer’s and James White’s minutes and still leave plenty of run for Smith. He’ll probably take a slight hit, but I don’t think it will be huge.

      • Sticky Mamba

        got it, I think I might be trading just to trade. Indeed lateral if anything because I loose 3′s and blocks. Thanks Patrick.

      • Sticky Mamba

        One more, whats your thoughts on Bynum? Stash?

        • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

          No. Looks like Bynum is saying things like he “hopes” to be back on the court “around” the all-star break, which is way too vague of a statement from a man who isn’t a doctor for me to put much stock in that. This year has been a disaster for Bynum, I would not subject your team to him at this point until we get more concrete information about a return.

  • Velvet

    Hi GMTR,

    I think Nels is too busy so I’m going to post my question here :)
    I just dropped Patrick Patterson for Ed Davis and Danny Green for Carlos Delfino,

    Derrick William does not seem to be getting much PT as dante cunningham seems to be the beneficiary of Love’s injury.

    Some notable waivers are Ben Gordon and Kosta Koufos.

    H2H 12 teams

    PG: Darren Collison
    SG:Joe Johnson/Klay Thompson/Carlos Delfino
    SF: Luol Deng/Derrick Williams/Matt Barnes/Shawn Marion/Andrei Kirilenko
    PF: Serge Ibaka/Ed Davis
    C: Marc Gasol/Tyson Chandler

    Going for FG/FT/3PTM/REB/TO/BLK

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      It’s too bad that Derrick Williams is flaming out, because in theory he is a nice fit with the categories you need. But he is definitely droppable the way he’s been playing even with Love out of the lineup. Gordon is an upgrade from Williams and has been scoring well, so that is an option, although he’s not the greatest fit with a big ball team. Koufos is trending down recently, so you may want to stay away from him.

      Short-term, you can also ride Earl Clark for as long as Gasol remains out. He’s been on fire and fits your team. Jared Sullinger had a bad game tonight, but his minutes seem to be trending up. I’d at least keep an eye on him. I’d also watch what Wilson Chandler does now that’s he’s back for the Nuggets.

      • Velvet

        I dropped Danny Green but it seems Manu is out for 2 weeks. Would you re-add him or should I stick with Delfino? Should I keep an eye on Patrick Patterson or would you stick with Ed Davis?

        • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

          You can certainly keep an eye on what Patterson is doing, but Davis will likely be better than Patterson. Keep him for now.

          I’d personally be inclined to own Green, but I’ve always found Delfino an incredibly frustrating player to own. No one will put up more 1-fer shooting nights than him. When he’s hot, he’s great, but when he’s off, watch out. Green is at least a little more consistent than that.

  • http://twitter.com/TriniBBQRibs Dave L

    Would I be crazy in trading my dragic and marc gasol for Sanders and Kemba if I dont care about assists but need rebounds, blocks, and more threes?

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Crazy like a fox. It sounds a bit out of left field, but the numbers suggest it’s a good trade for you. Sanders has quietly (well as quietly as one can blocking 3+ shots a game) been as good or better than Gasol as of late. Walker has also been better than Dragic. The trade is a bit risky in that you are relying on Sanders not to regress at all, but as long as he continues to do what he’s done all year, the trade works in your favor.

  • durant

    I get CP3, he gets Batum, do it?

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Unless you are worried about Paul’s knee injury (which doesn’t sound serious) I would make that trade.